Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 19.727644 22.496463 25.518824 29.063710 33.108971 37.583117 42.909685
2024-10-13 15.944164 19.578031 23.847360 29.236909 35.865650 43.761142 53.894184
2024-10-20 12.736699 16.718540 21.717671 28.462741 37.341506 48.652985 64.197646
2024-10-27 10.464608 14.620662 20.172864 28.146833 39.334816 54.519939 76.779066
2024-11-03 9.046473 13.410774 19.595500 29.022011 43.077717 63.344244 94.945251
2024-11-10 7.974944 12.507295 19.300906 30.259354 47.576565 74.031659 117.798324
2024-11-17 6.870725 11.365943 18.471901 30.568142 50.768948 83.375428 140.454479
2024-11-24 5.717907 9.947808 16.979057 29.574282 51.739687 89.436912 159.072957
2024-12-01 4.780198 8.724339 15.601483 28.533787 52.458270 95.229150 178.408360
2024-12-08 4.137534 7.905556 14.783242 28.333509 54.633392 103.961938 204.768907
2024-12-15 3.665079 7.317054 14.281700 28.631007 57.796039 115.082749 237.881264
2024-12-22 3.243881 6.753271 13.732210 28.739648 60.619522 126.072149 272.962361
2024-12-29 2.960416 6.432223 13.637853 29.825608 65.802272 143.091242 324.906794
2025-01-05 2.631379 5.956566 13.146837 29.993919 69.100121 156.862439 372.913550
2025-01-12 2.275551 5.357043 12.287045 29.192082 70.104432 165.852104 412.092409
2025-01-19 2.006819 4.906766 11.680620 28.862200 72.159105 177.693543 460.876586
2025-01-26 1.849429 4.692943 11.586665 29.755221 77.395008 198.255753 536.423232
2025-02-02 1.728730 4.547839 11.634145 31.020367 83.860602 223.252461 629.551223
2025-02-09 1.572813 4.283085 11.335976 31.333890 87.906376 242.849070 712.604039
2025-02-16 1.377317 3.876010 10.596301 30.312368 88.101338 252.147378 768.572980
2025-02-23 1.206658 3.505387 9.888292 29.243690 87.960379 260.534563 824.038736
2025-03-02 1.089758 3.266204 9.502101 29.036898 90.339717 276.795204 908.004295
2025-03-09 1.003409 3.100824 9.297890 29.340717 94.365646 298.916345 1016.428095